According to the RBI's projection, India's GDP growth slowed to 6.3% during the July-September quarter.

  • Dec. 1, 2022, 11:22 a.m.

India's gross domestic product (GDP) grew at 6.3 percent year-on-year (YoY) in the second quarter (Q2) of the current financial year (Q2FY23), according to the latest data released by the Ministry of Statistics and Program Implementation on Wednesday. The GDP had expanded by 8.4 percent in the July-September quarter of 2021–22, according to data released by the National Statistical Office (NSO).

The nominal growth rate was 16.2 percent year-on-year. "Nominal GDP or GDP at Current Prices in Q2 2022-23 is estimated at Rs 65.31 lakh crore as against Rs 56.20 lakh crore in Q2 2021-22, showing a growth of 16.2 percent as compared to 19 percent in Q2 2021-22," it added.

Earlier, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said real GDP growth for 2022–23 is projected at 7 percent, with July–September at 6.3 percent, October–December at 4.6 percent, and January–March at 4.6 percent, with risks broadly balanced. The central bank forecast a growth rate of 7 percent for the full year.

Analysts had projected the Indian economy would expand at half of the growth rate of 13.5 per cent recorded in April-June quarter this fiscal year.

Earlier this month, in an article published in the RBI bulletin, the GDP growth was pegged at 6.1-6.3 per cent in the second quarter of this fiscal year.

According to rating agency ICRA, the GDP was likely to grow at 6.5 percent, while the State Bank of India, in its report, projected the growth rate at 5.8 percent for July–September 2022.

According to economists, the GDP data will shed light on the health of the economy as pandemic-related disruptions ease and the government steps up spending in the hope that private spending and investments will follow.

"Several indicators suggest that the Indian economy is making resilient progress in Q2 FY23 in spite of the drag from global spillovers," State Bank of India's economist Soumya Kanti Ghosh said, using the designation used by the government for the July-September quarter.

Ghosh, however, said annual GDP growth in the period could be slightly slower than the consensus expectation of over 6 percent as companies have seen a decline in margins and industrial production increased at an annual pace of only 1.5 percent on average last quarter, its weakest in two years.

China registered an economic growth rate of 3.9 percent in July–September 2022.

Author : Rajdhani Delhi Representative

Rajdhani delhi representative

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